The Forex Trading Blog

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  • META

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    July 25th, 2011 by admin

    I’m considering going long and short US treasury bond ETF’s considering the volatility it probably will be experiencing soon. Anyway, i know hedging forex is illegal, but is hedging ETF’s and equities legal?

    If you think that there will be extreme volatility soon then you should be doing a long straddle on the ETF’s options. Going both long and short doesn’t do you any good as one negates the other but a long straddle where you buy both a call and a put is a bet that the price will change a lot. If you think the market will be very volatile you can double up on an out of the money long straddle and write an at the money short straddle to offset the costs of the play and if you’re lucky that would pay for itself (essentially a butterfly that’s doubled up on the wings).

    There’s nothing illegal about hedging but you need to know how to do it and going both long and short isn’t hedging unless you can lock in prices, it takes derivatives such as futures, options or contracts for differences to hedge. Options are best due to their nonlinear profit to price relationship. There’s always at least two legs to a hedge and you don’t want them to just cancel out. Note that CFD’s are illegal in the US market and that’s perhaps why you think hedging in the Forex market is illegal

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    July 21st, 2011 by admin

    When you look at the chart for any currency pair you can see that it moves basicly every second and the reason for that movement is because of the supply and demand.But how does a computer based chart calculate the supply and demand for a currency at a given time?Or in on the other hand,how can i calculate the supply and demand for a currency at a given time.

    Also if i buy eur and sell the dollar online am i increasing the demand for the eur or does that only happen if i do that with real money at a bank..?

    All there is is price, volume, and time. At a particular time, a buyer and a seller agreed on a price and exchanged a certain volume at that price. Could be said for stocks, commodities, currencies, or corn dogs Now if someone is willing to pay more than the last guy, prices go up and we SAY there is more demand than supply. Or vice versa. But in truth at any particular price and moment in time when a transaction is made, supply and demand are in perfect balance. The only time they are out of balance is when a market lock limits, or is closed, or prices are artificially set by government.

    If you buy euros in the forex market, you increased demand for them at that particular instant right before you bought them. But unless you are going to use them for something, those Euros are also future supply at some point when you try to sell them.

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    So…I happen to have a little less than $100k – which I know is a tiny amount for professional capital.
    And…that’s why I am thinking on how to raise additional funds. One of my ideas was to start a hedge fund and offer investors the option to open account online and deposit money easily…as if this is some online stock brokerage or forex, etc. I am also rethinking whether it will be a good option to offer some minimum interest rate per annum – like 6% minimum. Personally, I work as a software developer at a relatively big company so creating the website will be free in my case – most money will be spent for legal fees and marketing. Finally, I trade options, stocks and bonds for more than 5 years and 1-2 strategies that look as a safe bet – so offering 6% APY looks achievable. But…you know…the obstacle are obvious (weak ecomony, lowered investor’s trust, no track record…etc.).

    thanks in advance!
    anyway funny how when i ak question about a stratey noone replies and hwne i ak about investment bunch of "wiseguys" replies…well…whatever
    anyway funny how when i ak question about a strategy noone replies and when i ask about investment – then bunch of "wiseguys" replies…well…whatever. Fixed.

    Don’t worry about being tagged a "Madoff" maybe "foolish" or "unrealistic" would be a more proper tag.
    You list your obstacles but you forgot two important items which would be considered obstacles by those of us with experience – full understanding of the rules and regulations governing hedge funds and the industry and more importantly a limited amount of securities experience.

    You can not legally start a hedge fund for less than $100,000, you need at least 100,000 in net capital
    Registrations, accounting and legal fees will cost approximately $25,000 (this reduces your net capital)
    You need a clearing firm to clear your trades and hold your clients funds, this will require an approximate deposit of $50,000.
    Yearly account fees, insurance, and registrations will cost another $25,000 which will reduce your net capital.

    If you want to move forward with you "idea" you will have to create a full and complete business plan. Rather than come to YA for directions, you will have to present your plan to those with extensive industry experience and connections. I have participated in creating broker/dealers, funds, clearing companies and industry systems providers, coming to YA is not the way to go.
    Based on what you presented here, you are a long way off from attaining your goal.

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    IN INDIA

    In terms of risk, it is more risky to trade in commodities and forex than in shares.

    Commodities>forex>shares, in that order.

    In terms of profitability, this is a bit relative in the sense that profitability is a function of your skill in correctly analysing when and how to take trades, and exactly when to take your profits off the table. The truth is that I have actually made more money in forex than in shares in the last eight years I have been actively trading.

    So you need to identify your risk appetite, then assess your capabilities in knowing how to trade commodities/forex/stocks, before deciding on which one to take on. I would advise you start trading shares on a buy and hold basis, so you understand how these things work. The knowledge and experience you will gain from trading shares, will help you a lot when you decide to take on forex or commodity trading.

    Like someone pointed out, with a share, you actually own a stake in something tangible, so even if the value drops, you can hold on to it until the value picks up. But in forex and commodity trading where you are basically trading on contracts which are not tangible and which are highly volatile, you can easily lose everything in an instant if you do not know what you are doing.

    Hope this helps.

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    I want to start a virtual currency. I would be backed by gold. I am planning on making money by inflating the currency by simply selling off units I create out of thin air. I know this will inflate the currency but I plan on starting a lending market on it. The interest rate will match percentage of increase in money supply, so no hyper inflation will occur. I would like to inflate the currency by 3% a month, hence interest rates would be 3% a month, or a little bit over to entice investors. There will also be a spot where there is a "Suggested Exchange Rate," which will be based on the book value of the currency, which is derived from the precious metals reserves. This ensures no bubbles will form.

    My biggest problems are Marketing, Market-Making, and maybe tweaks in the monetary policy. I also need maybe a place where the currency can be traded for goods, like maybe I can give online retailers payoffs for accepting my currency as payment.

    I was also thinking of issuing bonds, payed for with dollars and payed back with units of my currency.

    I have $400,000 and would like to know how I could start with that amount, or maybe raise more, and with software and websites and marketing ideas, how to store the gold, and attach that value to the currency.

    Thanks for help and suggestions in advance! :)

    I’m going to try and answer this for you, but I think Yahoo Answers is a little out of its league for this type of question. You should probably seek advice from an economist and specialised lawyer.

    Firstly, my opinion is that your inflation rate is too high. And you should also consider converting it to an annual percentage rate so that it can be easily compared to other investments.

    What you have is a novel idea. It made me think a little, and I wonder why there is currently no universal or worldly currency (i.e. one that is accepted as legal tender in every country). I think the Euro is the closest to this that we have… Some time in the future, I believe this to be inevitable, however, I’m not sure if a single person, or even company could pull it off. It’s perhaps something best suited to the IMF.

    Anyway, back on topic… You have to be careful about your ‘suggested exchange rate’ idea. Baically, this figure equates to the value of one’s investment, much like a stock, and how it is derived or controlled will be of critical essence in the success or failure of your idea.

    In regards to the above paragraph, perhaps you could float a company, and sell off a fixed number of units to your company. This would not be your virtual currency as such; just ownership to the idea. That would eliminate the need to sell off bonds, which you should not do, unless it is for the specific purpose of raising capital.

    As for the marletplace, it won’t be likely that any retail shop would accept the currency if it were subject to any type of fluctuations. They want to be able to bank it for a specific amount, otherwise, it would play havoc with their pricing strategies. I know that particular statement is not an answer, but it is food for thought, as you need to consider the ramifications of that issue.

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    Which is the best Forex trading platform ?

    Go for Exness ….Fantastic one !

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    July 15th, 2011 by admin

    IT IS SOFTWARE TRADING WILL BE DONE AUTOMATICALLY WHEN TRADING IS TAKING PLACE. WHAT IS THE RELIABILITY

    You are a fool if you believe a forex robot will generate consistent profits.

    The sales pitches are lies. The trading records offered as "proof" are fabricated.

    Please don’t waste your money on something stupid.

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    So I have been trying this for a while (mostly simulators)…I haven’t had any losses with real money..however it seems like this is pure luck aside from time to time where I can predict where a pair is heading.

    I feel lost most of the time; I have read a lot about it and knew quite a bit…but it seems like 90% of the time…its just luck (short term)

    Am I wrong in thinking this?

    The best guidance is to stay out of it.

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    Particularly on the types of trading allowed e.g. hedging

    Contact a good Broker and see what they can do for you, they’ll have all the info you need. I like Easy – Forex, there is some good info on brokers here:
    http://learnhowtotradeonforex.com/

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