I'm a big risk taker but I'm also very intelligent. I like to take the biggest risk as long as it makes sense (I manage risk well). I'm not running around tossing up money or anything like that. The bigger the risk, the bigger the reward. That's been one of my moto's. I would like to start trading as soon as I can and I am willing to be as patient as I need to be. I just want some direction so I can start learning and I don't know how to determine what strategy to start with.
The best way to find out is to test the market and to know what type of trading personality you have. Ask yourself if you’re a short term, medium term or long term trader. This is the starting point, an anker on which you’ll base all your future trading decisions. Some start off with day trading to find out they’re better off swing trading or the other way around….if time permits.
There’s no clear cut way to decide what works for you and what type of trader you are. Like in a college/university one starts with the basics on which you grow to reach an osmosis. Same thing with trading. It’s a weeding out process, leaving only those things that are useful to you personally.
Technical analysis is a viable way (probably the most viable) of trading the forex. Whatever opinion goes around about finding a correct analysis and finding entries/exits, just know that TA is EXTREMELY popular, in part thanks to the lack of transparant fundamental information and the decentralized nature of the currency market. Fundamentals such as interest rates are the single most important driver of currencies, unfortunately that’s not always useful for short term or swing –traders. You’d also need a good understanding of economics to make interest rates work for you consistently.
Popular indicators are RSI, MACD, Stochastics, Fibonacci, Moving Averages, Bollinger Band, CCI and Candle patterns. However, a sound analysis starts with knowing recent price action as price is the ultimate indicator. You’d have to know when there’s a range, when there’s a trend and how both can interact. For each price pattern there are set indicators most appropriate for how the market currently behaves. For example, I’d not use Stochastics during an uptrend since the indicator can stay above 50 and/or 70 for a very long time, rendering most sell signals useless. On the other hand, there are indicators useful for both market conditions. A good example is the RSI. In either condition you’ll find these derived indicators more powerful when it matches current market behaviour.
What the charts show is actually all you got, so believe what you see and believe that it is happening NOW. This is not about what you fear might happen next. If that’s the mindset I promise you you’ll be in for a tough ride. Forex traders thrive on a positive attitude ready to get at it with full confidence.
I suggest to thouroughly research indicators to know their purpose well. For example, some claim when RSI is above 70 and crosses back below that level you should sell. If it was only that simple. Some traders use a 21 RSI with only a 50 level to determine the trend and use other indicators for entry/exit signals. What I’m trying to say is to not be afraid to use your common sense because the markets are something organic (people breeding on fear and greed are a natural phenomenon) and you need an organic approach with matching indicators (moving averages are the most organic of them all). Mechanical systems are therefore in my opinion less effective. How else would one make sense of the chaos of thousands and thousands of traders with different opinions?
Think how you would join all those traders moving the market up and down, when the different groups (using different timeframes) of traders converge to move the market even stronger. I think you’d find out on your own but I’m going to give a couple of tips anyway: Moving averages and Guppy theory
…. last but not least, less is more when constructing a strategy. Nobody needs a chart with an overload of information on it.
websites:
www.babypips.com
www.investopedia.com
www.fxcm.com
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